When Derrick Henry takes the field tonight for the Baltimore Ravens in their AFC Divisional Round clash with the Buffalo Bills, all eyes will be on the league’s most dominant running back. Kickoff is set for 6:30 PM ET at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York, and fans can catch the game on CBS.

Here’s a deep dive into Henry’s player props, odds, and key trends to watch as the Ravens look to punch their ticket to the AFC Championship.

Derrick Henry Player Props

• Rushing Yards Prop: Over 94.5 (-115)
• Receiving Yards Prop: Over 5.5 (-128)

(Odds provided by BetMGM, updated Saturday at 10:31 PM ET)

Henry’s Rushing Stats and Trends

• Season Average: Henry is averaging 113.0 rushing yards per game, well above tonight’s prop line of 94.5 yards.
• Games Over 94.5 Yards: Henry has rushed for more than 94.5 yards in 9 of 17 games this season (52.9%).
• Consistency: His average rushing yards over/under this season was 84.4 yards, and he’s exceeded that in 64.7% of games.
• Touchdown Machine: Henry found the end zone on the ground in 12 games this year, with four games featuring multiple rushing touchdowns.

Henry’s Matchup: Ravens vs. Bills

• Buffalo’s Rushing Defense: The Bills rank 12th in the NFL against the run, allowing 115.5 rushing yards per game. While solid, they’ll face a tough task containing the physicality and explosiveness of Henry.
• Baltimore’s Rushing Attack: The Ravens boast the league’s best rushing offense, averaging 187.6 yards per game. With their offensive line paving the way, Henry has thrived in this system all season.
• Baltimore’s Defense: On the flip side, the Ravens’ rushing defense is also the league’s best, surrendering just 80.1 yards per game. This could force the Bills to rely heavily on their passing game, giving Baltimore’s offense more time of possession to feed Henry.

Betting Tips and Insights

1. Rushing Yards Prop (Over 94.5): Henry’s season average is 18.5 yards higher than this line, and with the Ravens’ run-heavy game plan, he’s likely to be featured early and often. Buffalo’s respectable run defense may slow him down at times, but Henry’s ability to wear down defenses over four quarters gives the over strong appeal.
2. Receiving Yards Prop (Over 5.5): While Henry isn’t typically known for his receiving skills, he’s exceeded this modest number in several games this year. Buffalo’s defense may force Baltimore to mix in short passes to keep drives alive, creating opportunities for Henry in the passing game.
3. Touchdown Props: Henry’s track record of scoring in 12 of 17 games this season makes him a solid bet for an anytime touchdown. Consider wagering on multiple rushing TDs as well, given his ability to dominate in the red zone.

Final Thoughts

Derrick Henry has been the heart and soul of Baltimore’s offense this season, breaking records and bullying defenders along the way. Tonight, against a solid Bills defense, the Ravens will rely on Henry to control the tempo and keep Josh Allen and Buffalo’s offense off the field.

If Baltimore can establish their ground game early, Henry is poised for another big night—and bettors have plenty of reasons to back him in this critical matchup.

Let’s go, Ravens!