The Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills are set to square off in the AFC Divisional Round tonight in a game that’s shaping up to be a nail-biter. Kickoff is at 6:30 PM ET at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York, airing live on CBS.
Baltimore enters the game as slight favorites, with a spread of -1, but this contest is as close to a toss-up as it gets. With an over/under set at 51.5 points, oddsmakers are expecting a high-scoring affair between these two AFC powerhouses.
Here’s a full breakdown of the odds, betting trends, and key insights for tonight’s matchup.
Ravens vs. Bills Betting Information
- Spread Favorite: Baltimore (-1)
- Moneyline: Baltimore (-119), Buffalo (-100)
- Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
(Odds courtesy of BetMGM, updated Saturday at 9:33 PM ET)
Ravens Betting Insights
- Away Game Performance: The Ravens are 6-3 overall and 6-3 against the spread (ATS) on the road this season.
- Season ATS Record: Baltimore finished the regular season with an 11-6 ATS record and is 1-0 ATS in the playoffs.
- Favorites ATS Record: As 1-point favorites or more, the Ravens are 11-5 ATS this season (including playoffs).
- Scoring Trends: The Ravens have gone over the total in 13 of their 17 regular-season games, including 7 of 9 road games. However, their lone postseason game so far hit the under.
Ravens Key Players
- Lamar Jackson (QB):
- 4,172 passing yards (245.4 YPG)
- 41 passing TDs / 4 INTs
- 915 rushing yards / 4 rushing TDs
- Derrick Henry (RB):
- 1,921 rushing yards (113 YPG) / 16 rushing TDs
- 19 receptions / 193 receiving yards / 2 receiving TDs
- Zay Flowers (WR):
- 1,059 receiving yards (62.3 YPG) / 4 TDs
- Rashod Bateman (WR):
- 756 receiving yards (47.3 YPG) / 9 TDs
- Mark Andrews (TE):
- 673 receiving yards (39.6 YPG) / 11 TDs
Matchup Insights
- Buffalo’s Defense:
- Ranked 24th in the NFL against the pass, allowing 226.1 passing yards per game.
- Ranked 12th against the run, giving up 115.5 rushing yards per game.
- Baltimore’s Offense:
- No. 1 in rushing offense (187.6 YPG).
- Seventh in passing offense (237.4 YPG).
- First in yards per play (7.0).
- Baltimore’s Defense:
- No. 1 in rushing defense (80.1 YPG allowed).
- Second-worst in passing defense, giving up 244.1 passing yards per game.
Betting Tips and Key Trends
- Spread Pick: The Ravens are consistent road performers, covering the spread in two-thirds of their away games this season. Their ability to thrive in hostile environments, combined with Buffalo’s defensive struggles against the pass, makes Baltimore a strong play at -1.
- Total Points (Over/Under): Both teams boast explosive offenses, and with an over/under of 51.5 points, there’s value in betting the over, particularly given Baltimore’s tendency to hit the over in road games.
- Player Props:
- Lamar Jackson: With Buffalo’s secondary ranking 24th, Jackson could surpass his passing yard prop of 220.5.
- Derrick Henry: Buffalo’s middling run defense makes Henry’s rushing yard prop (94.5) an attractive over bet.
Final Thoughts
With both teams riding high off decisive playoff victories, tonight’s game promises fireworks. Baltimore’s edge in rushing offense and defensive physicality could prove to be the difference, but Josh Allen and Buffalo’s home-field advantage make this a true heavyweight battle.
Ravens fans, buckle up—it’s going to be a wild one. Let’s go, Ravens!