AFC Divisional Round Predictions: Experts Lean Toward Ravens Over Bills

a man in a white uniform

The highly anticipated Divisional Round matchup between the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills is set for Sunday, and NFL experts have weighed in with their predictions. While both teams boast MVP-caliber quarterbacks and compelling storylines, most analysts are siding with Baltimore to emerge victorious.


Expert Predictions: Ravens vs. Bills

NFL.com: Ravens

Four out of five NFL.com experts are picking the Ravens. Baltimore’s elite run game and dominant defense make them the favorite, even against Buffalo’s home-field advantage.


The Athletic: Bills

The Athletic is siding with Buffalo, highlighting the Bills’ unbeaten 9-0 record at Highmark Stadium and the challenge of facing Josh Allen on his home turf.


33rd Team: Ravens

The 33rd Team believes Baltimore’s balanced offense and superior run defense will give them the edge, particularly in the frigid conditions expected in Buffalo.

“It’s expected to be incredibly cold this weekend in Buffalo, but that might favor the Ravens, who have the better run defense and power run game behind Derrick Henry.”


Bleacher Report: Bills

Bleacher Report leans toward the Bills, citing their explosive offense and strong play at home as reasons they could outlast the Ravens in a tight game.


Baltimore Sun: Ravens

Four out of five experts at the Baltimore Sun are picking Baltimore, noting the team’s momentum and ability to dominate with their ground game and defense.


Buffalo News: Bills

As expected, the Buffalo News is backing the hometown team, emphasizing their perfect home record and Josh Allen’s ability to shine in big moments.


The MMQB: Ravens

Four of six MMQB analysts are picking the Ravens, pointing to their dominance earlier in the season and improved team chemistry heading into the playoffs.


Pro Football Talk: Ravens

Both Mike Florio and Chris Simms at Pro Football Talk are taking Baltimore in a close contest.

Florio: Ravens, 31-28.
Simms: Ravens, 30-28.


ESPN: Ravens

Six of nine ESPN analysts are predicting a Baltimore victory, with many citing Lamar Jackson’s MVP-caliber play and Derrick Henry’s dominance in the postseason.


Why Experts Favor Baltimore

  • Run Game Advantage: The Ravens’ rushing attack, led by Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson, is well-suited for cold-weather football.
  • Defensive Dominance: Baltimore’s defense has been one of the NFL’s best over the last two months, capable of neutralizing Buffalo’s explosive offense.
  • Momentum: Riding a five-game win streak, the Ravens appear to be peaking at the perfect time.

Why Buffalo Could Prove Them Wrong

  • Home-Field Advantage: The Bills are 9-0 at Highmark Stadium this season, with an average margin of victory of 17.4 points.
  • Josh Allen: One of the league’s most dynamic quarterbacks, Allen can take over a game with his arm and legs.
  • Improved Defense: Since Week 4, Buffalo has bolstered its defensive depth, particularly against the run.

Final Thoughts

While the majority of experts are backing Baltimore, this game is shaping up to be a tightly contested battle between two of the AFC’s best teams. The Ravens’ ground game and defensive edge make them the favorite, but Buffalo’s home dominance and high-powered offense could turn the tide.

What do you think, Ravens fans? Will Baltimore punch their ticket to the AFC Championship, or will Buffalo defend their home turf? Let us know in the comments!

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